**SI 9
**Data: main
**Additional variables: none

**Note, order of coefficients in the manuscript different than the order that appears in Stata

**SI Table 9.1
use "main.dta"

**SI Table 9.1, Model 1
reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction divgov  pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model  2
reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof##c.unemployment termlim  tleffect redist mmds chpart fraction divgov pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model 3
reg pctelect1 prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction divgov  pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model 4
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction  pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model 5
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.prof##c.divgov unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction  pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model 6
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Table 9.1, Model 7
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.prof##c.divgov##c.unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

**SI Figure 9.1
use "main.dta"

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 4
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction unemployment pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(divgov=(0 1)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0)  ciopts(lpattern(solid)) recast(scatter) ylabel(0.4 (0.1) -0.4) xlabel(0 "Unified" 1 "Divided") graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("") ytitle("Effect of Balance") graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black) color(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig914.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 5, Unified
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction unemployment pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(prof=(0.040 (0.05) 0.66) divgov=(0)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(0.042 0.64) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("") ytitle("Effect of Balance") graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig915u.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 5, Divided
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction unemployment pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(prof=(0.040 (0.05) 0.66) divgov=(1)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(0.042 0.64) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("") ytitle("Effect of Balance") graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig915d.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 6 Unified
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(unemployment=(-1.3 (0.1) 1.3) divgov=(0)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(-1.3 "Gains"  1.3 "Losses") graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("Economics") ytitle("Effect of Balance") graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig916u.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 6 Divided
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(unemployment=(-1.3 (0.1) 1.3) divgov=(1)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(-1.3 "Gains"  1.3 "Losses") graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("Economics") ytitle("Effect of Balance") graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig916d.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 7 Unified, Economic Losses
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment##c.prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(prof=(0.042 (0.05) 0.66) divgov=(0) unemployment =(0.4)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(0.042 0.66) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("Professionalism") ytitle("Effect of Balance")  graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig917u.gph", replace

**SI Figure 9.1, Model 7 Divided, Economic Losses
reg pctelect1 c.balance01##c.divgov##c.unemployment##c.prof termlim  tleffect redist  mmds chpart fraction pres2 y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 
margins, dydx (balance01) at(prof=(0.042 (0.05) 0.66) divgov=(1) unemployment =(0.4)) level(95)
marginsplot, yline(0) recast(line) recastci(rline) ciopts(lpattern(dash)) xlabel(0.042 0.66) graphregion(fcolor(white)) title("") xtitle("Professionalism") ytitle("Effect of Balance")  graphregion(fcolor(white)) plotopts(lcolor(black))  ci1opts(lcol(black))
graph save Graph "fig917d.gph", replace

